Seismic Swarm VS20230518.1: Analysis of Activity Near Karluk, Alaska
A seismic swarm designated VS20230518.1 occurred approximately 85 km NNW of Karluk, Alaska, on Kodiak Island. The sequence began at 14:59 on 17 May 2023 and concluded at 09:01 on 20 May 2023, spanning 66 hours and 2 minutes. During this period, 45 earthquakes were recorded, with magnitudes ranging from -0.6 to 1.9 and focal depths predominantly between 0 and 7 km, though a few events reached depths of 28–34 km.
The swarm exhibited a typical pattern of clustered microseismicity without a dominant mainshock. Initial events on 17 May included magnitudes of 1.3 and 1.1 at shallow depths of 3 km and 1 km. Activity intensified on 18 May, featuring multiple events around magnitude 1.0–1.9 clustered between 03:00 and 13:00 UTC, followed by a gradual decline through 19 and 20 May. Depths remained mostly crustal, consistent with shallow tectonic processes in the overriding plate.
This region lies within the tectonically active Aleutian subduction zone, where the Pacific Plate converges with the North American Plate at rates of approximately 6–7 cm per year. Kodiak Island experiences frequent seismicity due to megathrust locking and episodic slip along the plate interface, as well as upper-plate faulting. Historical records document numerous earthquake swarms in the broader Kodiak area since 2000, with nine such sequences identified through 2023. Prior swarms occurred in 2019 (one event), 2020 (two events), 2022 (four events), and 2023 (two events, including the present sequence).
Seismic swarms in subduction settings often reflect fluid migration, stress transfer, or aseismic slip transients rather than volcanic processes. The shallow depths and low magnitudes observed here align with background tectonic strain release along secondary faults. No significant damage or felt reports were associated with this swarm, reflecting the microseismic character of the events.
Long-term monitoring by regional networks continues to track such sequences to refine models of plate-boundary behavior. The 1964 Great Alaska Earthquake (Mw 9.2) demonstrated the potential for much larger events in this zone, underscoring the importance of ongoing surveillance.
References
- Alaska Earthquake Center, University of Alaska Fairbanks
- USGS Earthquake Catalog and Tectonic Summaries
- SeismoSight internal swarm classification records